Cappermetrics are advanced handicapper statistics that allow you to see a handicapper's true colors, much beyond the simple win % that most sites show. These metrics expose the weak handicappers and highlight the strong handicappers.
Wins (W): Total number of wins.
Losses (L): Total number of losses.
Profit (P): The actual amount of virtual money won or lost by a handicapper, regardless of actual bet size.
Effective Profit (eP): eP = (P / ABS) * $300. AP adjusts the profit numbers to allow for easy comparison between handicapper. By normalizing every bet to $300 the AP number can not be artificially boosted by simply making a maximum bet on every game. By using AP, it is easy to compare a handicapper who bets $500 on every game to one who bets $100 on every game.
Win Percentage (WP): WP is perhaps the most over valued, and concurrently the least valuable statistic that we offer. A lot of people put a lot of stock in WP. Don't.
Effective Win Percentage (eWP): eWP is the win percentage equivalent to if every bet was made on a -110 line. eWP is a much better way to evaluate a handicapper than WP.
Return on Investment (ROI): ROI = P / (total amount risked). ROI, like AP, can not be exploited by betting large amounts.
Z Score (Z): Z score is a predictor of future success. The higher your absolute Z score, the more likely that your results were gained by skill than by luck. Z is imprecise at low sample sizes.
Average Odds per Pick (AOP): The average odds taken on each pick. For example, -110 or +145.
Average Bet Size (ABS): The average amount bet on each pick.
Average Daily Picks (ADP): The average number of picks released per day. This only takes into account days where at least one pick was made, so your ADP will not go down if you take time off.
Pay very close attention to the filters on the rankings page. If you're sure that you have the filters set correctly, please know that we only update the rankings page once per day, at roughly 4AM Eastern Time each morning.
For your protection and for our convenience, all of our payments are handled by PayPal. The cancellation process is fast, the cancellation goes into effect immediately, and everything is done by you with no interaction or permission needed from Pick Monitor (which means an extra layer of security for you). For detailed instructions, please click here.
Your record on your profile shows your all-time record for every pick you've ever made. The rankings page, based on what filters you choose, may not include every pick. For example, by default the rankings page does not include picks with "juice" heavier than -150 and only shows picks made in the past 12 months.
Again, please pay attention to the filters. If you have it set for "Past 12 Months" then a really terrible week this year combined with a really awesome week over the same period last year (which is now dropped from the rankings) will lead to a large difference.
Yes, you can start fresh as many times as you want to get a clean record and a new starting bankroll. There have been many debates in the forums about whether or not this should be allowed, but the way we see it it's a win-win. It's easy to get lucky over a 10-15 game stretch, but it's impossible for luck to carry you through several hundred picks. And because we strongly feel that you should never follow a handicapper who has less than a couple hundred documented picks, we think the record reset feature is awesome, because it causes no harm but also allows the "Average Joe" to keep trying new systems until he finds one that works. The only conceivable downside to this is that someone unfamiliar with this industry might start following a handicapper with a 20-10 record (which is a small enough sample size that it could be derived from luck) but we simply can't restrict an awesome feature to handhold the few visitors who might benefit from it.
NO! Absolutely no gambling takes place on this website, and we do not endorse gambling in any way, whether legal or illegal. Our sportsbook is a fantasy sportsbook where you play with fake money in order to simulate a real-money sportsbook but without the risk. This is very similar to how the stock market has "virtual stock" games.
Sorry, but no. Even if you can prove that it was an accident, the answer is still no. It's nothing against you, it's just something that we have to be very strict on in order to retain maximize transparency.
Sorry, but no again. See above.
No yet again. Sorry!
The bet amount is the RISK amount when betting on underdogs and the TO WIN amount when betting on favorites. This is the most popular method for American-friendly sportsbooks, and also is the preferred method for followers of the Kelly Criterion.
Unless otherwise specified, all lines are from 5Dimes. We have no affiliation with 5Dimes.
For our fantasy sportsbook we follow the rules used by 5Dimes with the following exceptions:
"Games Won" tennis picks on matches that are not completed (walkover, suspended, retired, etc) are marked as void regardless of how far along the match was when it was stopped.
Listed pitchers must start for all MLB Baseball picks to have action, regardless of pick type.
REP is a very simple evaluation of community reputation/participation. For users looking to evaluate a handicapper, you may want to take a peak at REP because it gives you a more complete picture of that handicapper; a high REP score tells you that a handicapper takes this seriously, and therefore implies that a handicapper's good record is less likely to be the result of a lucky streak and more likely to be a predictor of future success. For the rest of us REP is important because life is all about bragging rights.
1. If you want to sell your picks, REP is crucial for buyer trust (see above). If a buyer is deciding between a handful of handicapper with similar statistics, your REP score is what will separate you from the rest.
2. REP is simply the result of great contribution. That great contribution will make you stand out and be recognized. Your resulting REP score is merely a bonus.
3. The More REP you have, the more voting power you have and the more likely your posts are to reach the front page of the forum.
4. Get listed atop the Members page.
Yes, but no. We've made the REP system intentionally simple, and therefore it is possible to temporarily game the system via some elaborate scheme. However, we do closely monitor REP, and will spot you fairly quickly if you are cheating and we'll either take all of your REP away or just ban you altogether. And for what? REP is supposed to be fun and it's supposed to be an evaluation of your participation and, to a degree, your character. Don't cheat. It doesn't add up.
REP Rank is updated every hour, so it can be delayed by as much as 60 minutes. This is why you may sometimes see a discrepancy between stated rank and actual rank. This ranking only includes users who have been active in the past 60 days. Please note that you will not show up on this rankings page until at least 12 hours after you register.
You must verify your email address before we can send you e-mails. You can do this from your settings page.
We tried to design the site to let non-users enjoy as many features as possible. That being said, there are tons of things that simply aren't possible without an account. For example, without an account you won't be able to talk in our forums, track your picks, etc. Account registration is quick, easy and free, and your information is kept confidential.
As a gold member you can follow as many non-platinum members as you want and get every pick by all of your handicappers conveniently in one place (called Gold Picks). The follow button allows you to add or remove handicappers from your list.
The numbers in parentheses are sport-specific Z-Score Pick Ratings based solely on past results. We take the handicapper's overall z score, z score in the particular sport, overall sample size, and sample size in the specific sport and come up with a number that tells us how well that handicapper does in situations similar to the one in question.
The formula used is:
Score = 50 * ((Z_OVERALL * min(NUM_OVERALL,200) / 200) + (Z_SPORT * min(NUM_SPORT,100) / 100))
Higher numbers indicate strong picks. Low negative numbers represent possible fade opportunities.
You must be a Platinum member to sell your picks directly on Pick Monitor, which is a fee of $79/mo. However, there is no fee to sell indirectly. Regardless of how you choose to sell, there is no commission taken by us. The client management tools are also free of charge.
Yes. We give you four options for selling directly; Six Months, Three Months, One Month and One Week. You may set whatever prices you desire for any or all of these options.
Currently we are restricting all sales to the four different options mentioned above. If you feel that this is too restrictive please tell us about it in our forums.
Payments are made directly from the buyer to you. You have the option to accept payment via PayPal and/or MoneyBookers.
Try to work with the buyer to come to an arrangement that both parties feel comfortable with. Most of the time all the buyer needs to know is that you care. Communication can go a long way. If this is not successful, Pick Monitor will try to step in as an independent arbitrator. If you do not accept the decision of Pick Monitor you may be permanently banned from our website.
You may see some references to Line.com in our forums and elsewhere on the site. Line.com was the old name of this site.
Long-term users of this site may notice tokens floating around in their accounts. Tokens may be used toward the purchase of a Gold or Platinum membership, as well as toward the purchase of your own website. Tokens may not be redeemed for cash.
