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New England Patriots 18 vs Denver Broncos 20

New England Patriots At Denver Broncos - AFC Conference Championship - NFL Football - 1/24/16 3:00PM
Sunday, 1/24
311 New England Patriots
-2.5 -120
-137
Ov 45 -110
312 Denver Broncos
+2.5 +100
+127
Un 45 -110

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RockySheridan RockySheridan
New England Patriots -3 -110
1/20/16 5:33pm Risked 5.5 units to win 5
WL%ROIPick Type
17211913.17Football
17011713.4Football point spread
65489.67NFL Football
65489.67NFL Football point spread

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Good
Karmeldarumbler Karmeldarumbler
New England Patriots -163
1/24/16 11:00am Risked 8.15 units to win 5
WL%ROIPick Type
1219310.49Football
241711.69Football moneyline
88716.06NFL Football
20139.93NFL Football moneyline

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Karmeldarumbler Karmeldarumbler
New England Patriots -3 -113
1/24/16 11:00am Risked 5.65 units to win 5
WL%ROIPick Type
1219310.49Football
866511.32Football point spread
88716.06NFL Football
61505.75NFL Football point spread

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StreaksNPeaks StreaksNPeaks
Denver Broncos Team Total OVER 21 -110
1/22/16 2:49pm Risked 5.5 units to win 5
WL%ROIPick Type
603822.38Football
5146.42Football team total
392328.16NFL Football
2090.91NFL Football team total

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StreaksNPeaks StreaksNPeaks
OVER 44.5 -108
1/22/16 2:49pm Risked 5.4 units to win 5
WL%ROIPick Type
603822.38Football
780.24Football over/under
392328.16NFL Football
7614.92NFL Football over/under

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Drocksports Drocksports
Denver Broncos +3 -110
1/22/16 6:27pm Risked 3.3 units to win 3
WL%ROIPick Type
106957.92Football
88698.01Football point spread
40425.53NFL Football
35344.44NFL Football point spread

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StreaksNPeaks StreaksNPeaks
New England Patriots -155
1/22/16 2:50pm Risked 7.75 units to win 5
WL%ROIPick Type
603822.38Football
18818.12Football moneyline
392328.16NFL Football
12519.8NFL Football moneyline

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sehnsee sehnsee
Denver Broncos +3.5 -125
1/24/16 12:19pm Risked 3 units to win 2.4
WL%ROIPick Type
1681304.04Football
1191019.56Football point spread
413510.08NFL Football
302517.56NFL Football point spread

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New England Patriots Vs Denver Broncos 1-24-2016 0 views

This game is iffy considering QB Tom Brady is 2-6 lifetime when playing in Denver. That being stated, Denver's Peyton Manning is evidently still struggling to find his form. The Defense for the Broncos will be the challenge for the Patriots offense and I believe HC Bellichick will install a conservative game plan in an attempt to limit mistakes. Points in this game will be at a premium and the FG kickers will be pressured to perform. For this reason, I am also taking UNDER the posted total of 44 in this game to coincide with a Patriots rare win in Denver.

Good luck everyone!

4

I agree Tim. It bothers me that Brady hasn't had great success in Denver. I look at both teams on a neutral field and I love the Pats, but in Denver......... In their first meeting this year they only had 250 yards of offense until their last drive in which they kicked a field goal late in regulation, albeit without Edelman and Amendola. Two of their 3 touchdowns came on short fields (47 yards and 15 yards after an interception). I don't see Peyton doing much, but I don'the think he'll make mistakes gIving the Pats a short field. I see this as a field position game especially from Denver's point of view. Punt the ball, make the Pats sustain long drives and put it in the hands of the defense. All that said, when healthy, the Pats are the better team and I think they find a way. I'm leaning to the under as well.

5

Peyton Manning threw 9 TD passes and 17 interceptions this season.

Brock Osweiler threw 10 TD passes and 6 interceptions.

Denver managed to beat Pittsburgh last week. Peyton Manning was awful as always. At least he didn't throw an interception for a change. Still, Denver was about to be down 4 points if not for Pittsburgh fumbling the ball midway through the final quarter. They went on to score a TD and complete a 2pt conversion to take a 7 point lead and followed that up by forcing another turnover leading to a Denver FG.

Brock Osweiler should be playing. But then there wouldn't be "Brady vs Manning".

Apparently views are more important that playing to win.

It's a toss up. Leaning towards Denver +3

Won't be betting on this one.

3

I agree with the post except for the part of Manning playing so bad. I watched the game and though he did over throw a couple times he through a lot of passes on the money that were dropped.


Also, I have not heard anything about Brock staring and assume

he will not play at all and only Peyton will play QB. Have I missed some breaking news on Brock playing ?


Also, you did not include Brady's awesome stats for this year:


Brady this year has had 36 TD's only 7 INT's

Manning 9 TD's and 17 INT's


Denver has played very well vs Pats but with a healthy Gronkowski, Julian Edelman and Amendola they will be so hard to stop. Tom Brady is best QB in the league hands down


5

Brock won't start the game. If Peyton is playin bad he will get a chance. In other words, Brock is definitely playing.

100% agree. Can't bet against Tom Brady with a relatively healthy lineup.

Will be a great game to watch. Likely will not bet. Don't feel confident enough.

4

sometimes all you have to do is analyze the forum and the picks....as of right now its NE(in DENVER at that) 55-18 and just about every post I've read is saying NE...Were talking Manning possibly last playoff run if he loses. To Brady at that. He'll be in rare form trust me. come on guys we all know how the light bill is paid in Vegas. Too much on NE side

5

so you taking DEN 3D ?


interesting angle on the analysis of the forums Never heard it quite put like that but guess that is just another way of looking at the consensus

4

future bet is on Denver to go to the Superbowl so I kinda need them to pull this one out

4

A couple things bother me about my Pats pick:

1. As 3D said, too many people not giving Denver a chance. Vegas was built on sure things. Never a bad strategy in fading the public.

2. Referee Ed Hochuli has never officiated a Denver loss and I'm picturing him giving his typical convoluted explanation of some BS call going against NE.

3. This is the conspiracy theorist in me and goes along with my second point. Given the NFL looking like fools in the deflategate debacle, are they going to let evil Tom Brady (sarc) potentially hoist another Lombardi Trophy given to him by Goodell? While Peyton's storied career ends with another playoff defeat to the hated Patriots of all teams? I think you may see some phantom calls going Denver's way.

By the way, I don't believe Oswald acted alone!!

5

1. Fading the public is never a bad strategy ??

2. Don't factor this in there are always stats that can get brought up

3. haha I like your end quote there.


Anything can happen and I am sure we will have plays in these games that we talk about up until the Super Bowl I am sure.



3

My biggest problem is the lack of recognition for Brock Osweiler.

Peyton Manning 9 TD's 17 interceptions. Brock Osweiler 10 TD's 6 interceptions.

It was his first season to start a game.

Forget about Peyton Manning. It's difficult to take an opinion seriously if you mention Peyton Manning in any meaningful way. He has shown nothing.

Against Pittsburgh he played the entire game. It took a 42 yard punt return to setup a FG, a long run to setup a FG, a forced turnover when Pitt was in FG range that led to the drive which ended with Denver leading by 7 when they could have easily been losing by 4 or 8 and after starting in FG range after forcing another turnover Denver took a 10 point lead.

Peyton does nothing but put pressure on his own defence and special teams to make sure they play perfect. If they don't, Denver loses.

Peyton was given plenty of opportunity to produce and he fails to do so over and over.

He ended with 0 TD passes and 0 interceptions. That is as good as it gets with Peyton Manning.

Brock Osweiler is going to take over this league. He is the greatest underrated QB of all time. No one gives him any respect.

Once he takes over everyone will act as if they were with him the entire way.

Peyton Manning does not exist. The player that you think of when you hear that name is long gone.

Don't allow the media to tell you what you think. Let them talk about Peyton Manning and let yourself use common sense to see that Peyton Manning is old news.

The NFL is onto new projects now. Brock Osweiler is one of them.

2

I am in agreement with WhiteGold with respect to his analysis as it pertains to the immensely difficult season Peyton Manning has endured. It is very obvious to those who have had the privilege of witnessing Peyton's career that this Peyton Manning is far less productive than the QB of years gone by. I would certainly lean in favor of the perennial post season Patriots for this reason alone. Osweiler may be the correct starting choice for this game, but perhaps the Broncos feel pressured to start the guy with the name. That being stated, even Brock may not be the difference maker versus a very good New England team. Brady and the Patriots always seem to rise to the occasion when the game is on the line, and I don't see this contest being any different. I may be completely wrong with how I see things playing out, but the UNDER and the Patriots seems like the right direction to lean IMO.

Good luck everyone!

3

@aicnine - starting to wonder about the possibility of conspiracy and the potential of referee calls that could alter the outcomes of the last 2 Patriots games this season. Maybe the NFL is preparing for the Patriots to make it to the Superbowl. Blakeman has been announced as the head official of the Superbowl. http://sports.yahoo.com/news/referee-involved-defl... Don't think they or others want to see NE repeat, even though science has proven deflategate was BS. I still think the Patriots get past Denver this weekend, although it may be close depending on penalties called. Don't give up the points, pay the juice taking the Pats ML. Look at the article recently posted about teasers and game outcomes close to the number. Going to be an interesting weekend and SB game if the Patriots get there.

4

@Mathkid - Let me rephrase..... Consistently following the public is bad strategy. You need to look no further than this site where more people are in negative figures than positive, and I feel this forum, on the whole, has intelligent cappers.

3

Besides overall intelligent handicappers, some handicappers tend to play both spread and ML, especially for favorites which would reflect as 2 picks. It seems that fewer handicappers play both sides when choosing an underdog, especially larger ones. For example, many will not take a full unit size regular for them on a heavy underdog. Also, the numbers do not reflect units played as some may place 1 pick at normal, with another higher risk higher reward pick at a much smaller unit size just to have some action on it, etc. Ultimately, while these numbers are interesting, there are considerations that should be taken into account.

3

Some investors only look at a cappers ability to pick winners ATS. They do not lend much consideration to the ML's or O/U's Just the ability to pick winners ATS.

1

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