Michel Pereira 0 vs Tristan Connelly 3

Michel Pereira vs Tristan Connelly - UFC Fighting - 9/14/19 9:05PM
Saturday, 9/14
2308 Michel Pereira
Ov 1.5 +150
2307 Tristan Connelly
Un 1.5 -179

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Todd51 Todd51
Tristan Connelly +345
9/14/19 9:00pm Risked 5 units to win 17.25
WL%ROIPick Type
556921.93Fighting moneyline
516112.95UFC Fighting
516112.95UFC Fighting moneyline

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Triplejjjsport Triplejjjsport
UNDER 1.5 -160
9/14/19 11:37am Risked 1.6 units to win 1
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161114.5UFC Fighting over/under

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Michel Pereira Vs Tristan Connelly 9-14-2019 0 views

Just curious? Why did (most) folks who picked a basically unknown fighter, to beat another unknown fighter, at -400/-450 odds in this fight tonight??? I did not make a pick in this fight, because neither fighter had a (film study) history of fighting any other recognizable fighter, other than the favorite, who had one single UFC fight a few months ago. I know that most MMA "handicappers" on this site like to make blind picks on favorites, other than those few "other" "handicappers", who like to make 100% picks on dog fighters, in the hopes that they will win and be "successful" on a few dog picks.

Seriously though. Why would anyone make a pick to risk 25 units to win 5 units in ANY sport??? Would you do that in "real life"??? Why would you document this type of irresponsibility associated with your name???

To me, no matter how good your short term pick history is ... because honestly, when you make -250+ type of picks, your pick history will be "SHORT TERM" ... why would you make picks on an unknown fighter like you did tonight???

Please, could one of you -400/-450 Michel Pereira pickers explain ;-)


I noticed the same thing when Kansas upset Boston College. There were 6 picks made for 5 units on Boston College ML at -1200 and no picks on the dog. That's crazy. Local bookies won't even put up a money line on a game like that because they know bettors will only take the dog and they don't want to risk the big loss. Yet, people are lining up on here to "risk" $6000 to win $500. This is not realistic betting.


custom2006 awarded 250 tokens for this post.

Man I know!!

I didn't miss a single UFC / Bellator / Pride / Strikeforce fight in the past decade. It's rare that I see a main card with a fight were I know neither fighter. Only fight on the main card I didn't bet, after the first backflip I loled at anyone who put $ on -450. Guy has 0% BF, missed weight (I think?) and was spending so much energy in the first 2 minutes, no way he won the fight passed the 1st round.

Entertaining nonetheless, it's undeniable that he has good athletic skills and he wanted to put his name out there (which he kinda did). With a good coach that can funnel his energy more efficiently the guy has potential.


... and just as I suspected, in nearly 24 hours since the fight took place, no MMA "Handicapper" that bet on the favorite would respond to my original post!


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