This is a similar play to the reverse line movement on the Bulls last night, except the money is now split on the +1/-1 spread. It initially opened up at -2 Miami, with majority of tickets tonight hoping for the Heat to cover. While I'm going with Boston here as the contrarian play, it is not as strong of a play as Chicago was last night. Many of the cappers I respect and follow are going with the Heat, and the Heat are also playing at home.
My reasoning for Celtics being the bet tonight is that the line moved earlier in Miamis favor despite the action, and Miami is playing a back-to-back with Boston rested up. They are evenly matched, however, I think the Celtics have a better defense. This is another case of a bet that seems too easy to win on the Heat at home, but Boston is going to be a lot more difficult to beat than Heat backers are giving them credit for. I'm going to roll with the bookies again here and take Celtics ML for the win.
Beat the Heat!
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