5 unit picks (2-3)
OKC has an ATS record of 33-16, which is just incredible. Some of the trends going against Pheonix is that they are 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games and 10-14 ATS at home. Some of the trends going for OKC is that they are 19-5 ATS on the road and 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games. Last time these two teams played at OKC, the Thunder won 126-108. In theory, OKC in this spot should be a fade if I thought that their last game's spread was justified (OKC -3 at OKC). Since then, the market may have realized that the Thunder are a better team than some may have thought. The game opened up at OKC +1 and has since moved to OKC - 1. Although that is a significant movement, OKC is still the better team and the hotter team. They should win here more often than not.
Pick - OKC -1