5 unit picks (8-10)
I think Houston wins tonight even without Westbrook. Suns haven't been playing well going 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games and 6-10 SU in their last 16 games. Suns have the second most personal fouls per game at 22.5. James Harden against the team that is #2 in personal fouls spells disaster. I think Rockets win and cover.
I also got the over at 234.5. I think the fouling stops the clock a bunch. The Suns and Rockets are top 10 in pace. Suns and Rockets are both below average defensively and I expect the Rockets defense to be worse without Capela. Their last game had a total of 264. I think this is a good spot to take the over.
Picks - Rockets -2.5 & Over 234.5 ( 5 units each)