Okay look. Here is how I see the game and many will not agree with how I cap some games but I learned this from a good friend growing up. So hear it is:
"He always told me think how they want a sucker to think and then go opposite."
So there is a guy named Joe and he is down 2000 from the previous week. He only has 4000 to lose to the bookie and he will lose his home because he is late on house payments. He comes to the Thursday game because he is a degen and needs to fix his problems immediately. He looks at the line and sees the Giants at +2.5 and jumps all over it. Who is Carolina right?
Take Carolina -2.5 sometimes its about a line read. This is a sucker bet if you take the Giants aka former super bowl champs. Why would they have to make it +2.5 to get people to bet on it when people are already front runners.
There are many ways to look into a game via trends and statistics but sometimes you have to just look at the line and realise what is going on. Good luck. Thoughts and opinions are appreciated.