As I've said before Monfils is coming from a long time of inactivity due to his injury, and I can't see him playing for two consecutive weeks at a high level. In first round I bet against Monfils but although we saw a very weak Monfils in the second and third set he managed to win the game against Anderson, the only point is that he won it in 2 hours and 35 minutes, today I was thinking of betting on Troicki but I didn't pull the trigger as Troicki is playing really bad lately and I was right, Monfils has won in straight sets but the detail is that he has played for one hour and 52 minutes. He has no day to rest and tomorrow is gonna play in the first turn of games so his rest will be even lower.
Against him will be Simon, that guy just only pass the ball to the other half of the court and waits for the opponent error, he's gonna make this game longer and longer and that's simply what he needs to beat Monfils, if he can take long points he's gonna be in a great position to win.
What I've seen so far in the tournament is that although we're in an indoor court the surface is slow enough to allow players to play long points.
Also Simon has been preparing this Asian tour since he has finished the US Open and when he has played in here he has had good results, in 2009 he won this tournament and last year he arrived to semifinals.
I expect a long game with breaks from both players, what I also see is Simon far superior in an hypothetic third set so I really like the odds on him.