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Gary Johnson popular vote over 0.49999% (1) vs Gary Johnson popular vote under 0.49999% (0)

2012 US Presidential Election - Popular Vote - Politics Other - 11/6/12 10:00AM

1391 Gary Johnson popular vote over 0.49999%
OFF
-600
OFF
1392 Gary Johnson popular vote under 0.49999%
OFF
+400
OFF
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Gary Johnson Popular Vote Over 0.49999% Vs Gary Johnson Popular Vote Under 0.49999% 11-6-2012

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Can someone explain exactly what this proposition is?
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It's whether or not he will win at least one half of one percent of the vote or if he will be under one half of one percent of the vote.
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"Gary Earl Johnson is an American businessman, a former Governor of New Mexico, and the Libertarian Party nominee for President of the United States in the 2012 election."

I didn't know either, so I googled his name.

So he's the Libertarian Party's nominee for President in the upcoming election. Looks like this prop is to wager whether he gets more than or less than half a percent of the popular vote.

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@spreadratings, there's electorial votes and the popular votes. you need to specify which you are referring to.
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In this case it's the popular vote and according to Intrade, there is an 80% chance that he will succeed in achieving at least 1/2 of one percent.
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I know who he is just wanted to make sure before I pound the over here
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I think it'll be more than that. Political analysists that I've read say Johnson and Goode both will likely take 1-2% each away from the overall numbers come election day.
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Yeah, I think the over is pretty solid.
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He's polling in the double digits in some states.
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Now I'll feel like my vote counted.
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I figure if intrade has this at an 80% chance then the no vig line should be −400, right? So −320 is a good bet too.
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That would be correct. Nice bet.
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I'm seeing a lot of "Middles" on InTrade vs 5dimes odds. Anyone profiting from this strategy?
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@Reno, does that mean you're voting for Johnson just to add one more vote to his popular vote numbers?
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I was already voting for Gary Johnson, but now I have more incentive to get to the polls and maybe convince others. Though, if I lived in a state where votes don't matter like California, where the outcome is already known why not cast a vote to win some money? I'm very libertarian though, voted for Ron Paul in the primaries, and will vote for Gary in the National.
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Haha, I recently posted on facebook:

"Saw an episode of Mythbusters in which President Obama says something along the lines of "I'm a fan of Mythbusters. You guys blow stuff up. That's cool."

Yup, I'll take Obama's "Mythbusters is cool" over Romney's "binders full of women"."

My wife and kids are huge fans of Mythbusters.

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Why does this have so many posts and views lmao
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That didn't take long, looks like 5dimes moved this line to where it should be, -400. Good luck to all those that hopped aboard while the getting was good.
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Wow today it's all the way up to -500. Can't say I'm surprised, I'm expecting anywhere from 2% to 6% of the vote going to Gary. Beating .499% seems a little too easy.

Edited 10/29/12 at 2:01PM by RenoChazz - No reason listed.

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Here we are on election day and it's now −600. Good luck everyone.
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*Stats used on this page under the "Picks by PickMonitor Handicappers" section are stats for the past 12 months in all sports. eP stands for Effective Profit, a figure that adjusts for average bet size such that you can compare two handicappers who risk $100 per game and $500 per game, respectively. eWP stands for Effective Winning Percentage which answers the hypothetical question "what would this handicapper's win % be if he played exclusively -105 lines?"