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Gael Monfils 2 vs Roger Federer 3

US Open Men's Singles Championship - Flushing Meadows, Queens, New York - ATP Tennis - 9/4/14 11:00AM
Thursday, 9/4
251 Gael Monfils
OFF
+337
OFF
252 Roger Federer
OFF
-377
OFF

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Gael Monfils Vs Roger Federer 9-4-2014 0 views

I have a small play on Monfils. More of a recreational play, about 15% of a unit. I was turned on to the profit that could be made on tennis about 2 years ago and have been playing real small for the past year after a full year of research. I started out betting about 5% of a unit and have moved that up as I get better at it.

Best of luck,
Slick
2
There is no value in this match. Monfils has not be able to beat Federer. Plus Federer is playing unbelievable right now. His forehand and ball placement is too much for Gael Monfils to handle, who likes long rallies from the baseline. GL
1
in that case it sounds to me that you feel plenty secure in a 5 unit play on Fed otis
1
Monfils may lose in straight sets. I admittedly am not an expert as I stated in my post. I'm still learning. That's why I'm betting 15% of 1 unit not 15% of my bankroll.
2
I am currently trying to advance my prediction of games won and total games but have not gotten that far yet. At this point, I am still a strictly moneyline player. RoyalPova, would you mind telling me what makes the +5 games attractive to you?
1

Monfils is in great form and is more then ready to play 3-5 sets. Federer is 7-2 against Monfils however, Monfils won two of the last four matches with Federer as I mentioned earlier.

Federer is great but, the price is way off. Federer should be -200 at best. Monfils is a top 5 player in the world. Forget the tennis rankings, they are a joke. People look into the rankings too much. The only reason Monfils is not being looked at in a more realistic way is because, he has only played half as much matches this year as everyone else. He "disappeared" off the radar for a bit. He has never been in better form. He is the best Gael Monfils he has ever been. He can beat Federer again. It would not even be an upset.

Monfils played Federer recently and lost in 3 sets. He is playing better tennis at this current time and I highly doubt Federer can beat him in 3 sets. Monfils is too good.

Don't be surprised if Federer seems to lose a step in this match. Monfils playing at 100% can easily tire out his opponent with his style of play.

Respect Monfils.

2
It's nice to see that you think this line should be around -200. I have it figured to be -209 as a fair no-vig price. Thanks for the input. Hopefully I can continue to put pieces together and expand my game from strictly moneylines to games won and total games as well in the coming months. I will probably be betting fractional units on tennis for quite some time as I don't think I would feel comfortable betting full units without 3-4 years of experience under my belt first.
1

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