Pittsburgh Steelers 13 vs New York Jets 20

Pittsburgh Steelers At New York Jets - NFL Football - 11/9/14 1:00PM
Sunday, 11/9
261 Pittsburgh Steelers
-4.5 -102
Ov 46.5 -105
262 New York Jets
+4.5 -108
Un 46.5 -105

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Pittsburgh Steelers Vs New York Jets 11-9-2014 0 views

Vegas surely knows that the Steelers are a public team and now with the past 2 weeks they could have put this line way higher than -4 and still had plenty of public money come in on them. My head says the Steelers are the much better team and with momentum but my gut is saying to stay away due to the suspiciously low line. Thoughts?
From the outside it looks true. The models I see have it around -2 due to the game being in NY. Pitt is on a roll and this does look like a trap. My question is how long does Vick stay in the game? Their O-Line is horrendous, and with the renewed pass rush by Pitt, I believe Vick will be knocked out again before the game is over. Matt Simms is not a NFL QB and if called upon will be blitz even more. The Jets will need to rely on their ground game. They are weak at receiver with only Decker making any plays. If this line gets under 4, I don't see any reason not to take it. At -4 it's still a play. The Jets will need to come out and play like they did again NE, but I don't think that's going to happen, but this is the NFL.

Edited 11/3/14 at 2:51PM by wacked - No reason listed.

Its early to chat about this game, but if everything looks good with mr berger passing i think this game can be a 5 units pick. Last night was a beautiful passing record.

Edited 11/3/14 at 3:27PM by parleymoney - No reason listed.

FWIW, there is a pretty strong turnover reversion indicator that favors the Jets in this game. I.e., teams with exceptionally poor turnover differentials over the last 5 games have tended to cover in their next game.
The line just recently jumped from -4.5 to -3.5 with 90% of the public still on Pitt. Smells of a huge bet by a sharp syndicate. I cant back the jets at such a low number but I definitely cant walk into the trap on the pittsburg side unless it goes to -3 at which point I'll have to hope the best team actually covers.

Ben Roethlisberger has 12 touchdowns passes in the last two weeks. They scored 94 point in those two games and the Jets scored 92 in their last six games.

I don't understand the low spread. I picked the Jets +3.5


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