Edited 1/8/15 at 8:01PM by Parker - No reason listed.
Baltimore Ravens 31 vs New England Patriots 35Baltimore Ravens At New England Patriots - AFC Divisional Playoffs - NFL Football - 1/10/15 4:35PM Saturday, 1/10
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Baltimore Ravens Vs New England Patriots 1-10-2015 0 views
You make me want to mortgage my house and bet it all on the Ravens.
Excellent write-up and the stats are very compelling.
This is easily the highest line the Ravens have played too all season. They have not been more than three-point dogs all season and have played to an average line of +3.2 points. Playoff teams are 53-39-2 ATS when the line in the game is at least 6.8 points higher than their average line this season.
Baltimore does two things really well that are vital to postseason success. Baltimore's red zone defense comes up big. They have allowed TDs on just 42.1% of possessions in the red zone. Playoff teams which have held their opponent to TD no more than 44.1% of trips to the red zone are 48-24-2 ATS.
They also get after the quarterback, with 3.24 sacks per game, good for second in the league. Teams in the playoffs which are averaging at least 2.88 sacks per game are 41-21-1 ATS .
I made a mistake and picked New England on this site. Im all in on RAVENS.
5 units on the pats -7. Most likely my largest wager of this yeas NFL season.
Pats -7 to the bank.
Belichick is 3-7 ATS at home off of a bye week in the playoffs. 7-3 SU though. Small flukey sample maybe? Or is this spread a bit inflated?
I agree with you though a bit eloozun. It isn't really ever good to bet against the Patriots at home under Brady and Belichick. Part of betting in the NFL is betting for who you think is going to win straight up and forget the spread. Patriots are 108-23-0 SU (82.4%) since 2001 at home. Kept it small, but for me the bigger angle is how the Pats lost to the Bills in their final week. Everytime the Pats have gone far in the playoffs, they did a blowout in week 17.
Was listening to Bill Burr's podcast last Monday and he said a funny thing (as usual)...something along the line of: the Pats did that stupid video game thing where you put down the controller and say, 'ehh I wasn't even trying.' Bill Burr has a surprisingly good sense for Football in my opinion by the way.
We'll see guys. In retrospect, I'm wishing I passed on this game. I generally hate betting games that are so marquee. Go Ravens.