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New England Patriots 30 vs Dallas Cowboys 6

New England Patriots At Dallas Cowboys - NFL Football - 10/11/15 4:25PM
Sunday, 10/11
469 New England Patriots
-9.5 -105
-340
Ov 50.5 -110
470 Dallas Cowboys
+9.5 -115
+310
Un 50.5 -110

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BettingProtocol BettingProtocol
New England Patriots -8.5 -102
10/11/15 12:03pm Risked 2.11 units to win 2.07
WL%ROIPick Type
55469.28Football
483223.55Football point spread
16149.07NFL Football
11737.24NFL Football point spread

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The+Contrarian The Contrarian
Dallas Cowboys +9 -108
10/11/15 8:19am Risked 2.16 units to win 2
WL%ROIPick Type
1802174.37Football
1101055.44Football point spread
13614710.85NFL Football
77708.55NFL Football point spread

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The+Contrarian The Contrarian
Dallas Cowboys +360
10/11/15 8:19am Risked 1 unit to win 3.6
WL%ROIPick Type
1802174.37Football
40812.63Football moneyline
13614710.85NFL Football
335318.25NFL Football moneyline

0 star rating based only on past results. Future results may vary.
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New England Patriots Vs Dallas Cowboys 10-11-2015 0 views

What am I missing with this line? -7.5 / -8 @ most books. I have the Patriots winning closer to 14+ points. I know historically the Pats aren't world beaters after a bye week, but the Cowboys are decimated. They lose one of the top WRs who is a RB in Randall. Obviously Romo and Dez are out and it's possible Sean Lee misses the next game with a concussion. Sure McClain and Hardy make their first appearance of the year, but so what. I don't see them having much impact the first game back.

Thoughts?

4

Also Brandon Weeden is now 5-18 in his career and hasn't won a game since Dec 9th 2012.

2

@Anthonym good response. I'll just say, that Cassel is 34-39 as a starter. Take out his amazing 1 year in New England in 2008 which he was 10-4 as a starter and he is just 24-35. That's better than Weeden, but a 40.6% winning percentage minus '08 New England albeit 46.5% for Cassel including NE, compared with 21.7% for Weeden are both terrible.

The last time Cassel played NE with Minn, he lost 7-30 with 1 TD and 4 INTs. He did win a game last year against St Louis, but it was with Austin Davis/Shaun Hill at QB. A QB that was second string to Ponder, and lost out to both Tyrod Taylor and EJ Manuel just doesn't change my mind.

4

Road faves off a full bye have been dominant ATS historically, incl. the Pats when they have qualified. Only issue I see is that Garrett is 19-7 ATS lifetime as HC when a dog of +3 or more (14-6 with Romo, 5-1 without). I still like the Pats in this game.

2

Also, Brady is 23-30 ATS lifetime when favored by 8.5 or more (vs. 83-38 ATS in all other games).

3

40.5% chance versus the 24% chance the odds are giving them would make Dallas a great bet if Cassel starts.

3

This looks too easy. Maybe -8.5 loses. Maybe the Pats tear Dallas a new one and I'll be kicking myself like not taking Alabama as an underdog weeks back. I'm taking this -8.5 gift. The Pats are playing great football...

1

I really want to parlay +8 and the under but cowboys injury list makes me think twice. I think I will just take both plays but not parlay it. Im scared of patriots offensive game, so good so far this season.

1

My CBS app showed +7.5 new ODDS now on the cowboys line. I was gonna to say WOW This line dropped a lot this week.

Edited 10/11/15 at 2:44PM by AnthonySports12 - No reason listed.

2

1u on -8.5 is no biggie. It's the 19u on Pats SU that will be the death of me. I swear Vegas doesn't beat me, I beat myself. You'd figure I'd learn money management after over a decade on this grind. Good luck to everyone else who went balls deep on Pats SU. Even if they pull out the win, I'll never learn my lesson. I'll be crying on here again next week...

1

thanks god I didnt get these plays into a parlay, what a fkng disaster from cowboys, need to get their injury players back asap.

1

Dallas played a good 1st Qtr and a decent 2nd, but they forget there was a 2nd half and the Patriots do what they always do and exploit other teams weaknesses and the score showed appropriately.

2

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