Game 1 total was 239.5, which was the highest total ever for an NBA playoff game. But it was still too low with these teams average pace over 103 (projects to 244) when they played each other in the regular season. However, the game stayed well under thanks to the Bucks not being able to hit the ocean from the beach. They shot 20% from 3's which is bad, and 57% from the free throw line which is even worse. The pace was still blistering fast, projecting the final score in the 250 range if the Bucks shot just reasonably well.
Game 2 brings us a classic over reaction to game 1. The total has cratered to 233.5 because of the low final score and the injury to Harden. Harden is virtually meaningless to the total. The Nets played 2 of their regular season games against the Bucks without Harden and the pace was the same as the games with him. The game 1 final had nothing to do with defense as the Bucks just missed one wide open shot after another. So no need to worry about coaching adjustments. And the Nets were in cruise control the last 5 minutes of the game because the Bucks didn't keep up, so the Nets had more in them if needed. By no objective measure should this total have dropped this low.
Bet Over 233.5