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Colorado-Arizona 5-21 53 views

The Over/Under line on this game right now is 11.5 runs. Even in Colorado this seems on the low side. Game time winds of 19mph blowing straight out to right center are forecasted. Both starters are average at best, Marquez having a 9.24 ERA in May & Frankoff having a lifetime ERA of 8.68 in four career starts.

Not much history on Frankoff vs. the Rockies batters but plenty on Marquez vs. Arizona. One player that should do very well is the streaky Eduardo Escobar. He's only sticking .224 so far this year but hitting .333 in his last seven games and is 11 for 20 against Marquez lifetime with a 1.424 OPS.

It doesn't appear that this info is already baked into the line since the juice in on the under. It appears that 11.5 runs is too low on a night where the pitchers are iffy, in a park that favors hitters and current conditions are ripe for high scoring. Take OVER 11.5 runs.

http://dailybaseballdata.com/cgi-bin/dailyhit.pl

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