Dapper Dan Picks 2021 - Ncaaf Week 0 60 views

Season Totals

First play of the season: (will count this game in Week 1 total after this week instead of adding a Week 0 to my spreadsheets)
Dapper Dan Picks 2021 season (0-0)

2021 - Week 0
Nebraska -7 (+100) Risking 1 unit to win 1 unit
This is a huge coaching mismatch and we have a very well established system entering their 4th year together at Nebraska and Illinois who did a total coaching re-vamp during the off-season with sub-par coaches. Brett Beliema is now the head coach at Illinois, he had a good run in the Big 10 over a decade ago at Wisconsin but has struggled since moving to Arkansas in the SEC in 2013 (first year went 3-7 at Arkansas) and moved on to a few assistant jobs in the NFL the last few years before returning back to college football this year. His offensive coordinator is Tony Peterson, who had a good run at Louisiana tech but he always struggled against the bigger schools and always in his first year establishing his offense. At Louisiana Tech, in his first year, he ranked 103rd in offensive yards per play and even though he improved to 12th in ypp in his 3rd year at L.Tech, he didn’t have the same success when he moved to East Carolina in 2016-2018, where he ranked 75th in his first year in ypp and dropped to 103rd in his 3rd year. Ryan Walters a very inexperienced defensive coordinator who piggybacked off the great defensive minded head coach Barry Odom at Missouri for a couple years but didn't have much success. Brandon Peters should start at QB who struggled at Michigan and hasn't been much of a threat anywhere with his athleticism, he went 1-3 as a starter last year with his one win being against Nebraska - REVENGE TIME! Over at Nebraska, Scott Frost is desperate for a good winning season after struggling his first few seasons since moving over to the BIG 10. He’s entering his 4th year with senior Adrian Martinez at the helm who has shown sparks of greatness but was often hampered by injuries in his first two years and prone to big mistakes, which he hopefully has learned from. Their strength should be their defense as Erik Chinader, who came from UCF with Frost enters his 4th year in the program as well with 9 returning starters and ranking 27th of total % of tackles returning on defense. Seems like the majority of public and handicappers are on Illinois moving the line down but I think the oddsmakers were closer to the actual spread with the opening line being -9. I bought the half point with my bookie down to -6.5 at -120 and you should too but I think we win this one comfortably regardless.


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