Golden State Under is 29-10 in their last 39 games with a total of 230 or higher. The Under is also 22-8 in the last 30 games Golden State has played on the road against a team that wins 60% at home.
No Curry tonight which is also good for the Under. Clippers have played some high scoring games lately, but 6 of those were on the road. At home, Clips give up 108 per game. That's more good news for the Under.
My math model has this game at 224.5. It's expected pace of play (how many shots) multiplied by adjusted real shooting percentage (home/road + quality shots). Then add expected foul shots and percentage.
Math and history line up for a play on Golden State / Clippers Under 230 tonight.
Good luck on all your wagers.